Iowa State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1  Betsy Saina SR 18:59
11  Meaghan Nelson SR 19:21
87  Samantha Bluske JR 19:58
124  Crystal Nelson 20:07
149  Katy Moen SO 20:15
307  Taylor Petersen SR 20:36
446  Colleen Riley FR 20:52
493  Maddy Becker SO 20:57
511  Bethany Olson JR 20:59
639  Maggie Gannon SO 21:09
752  Anna Buenneke JR 21:17
984  Emily Meese JR 21:33
1,265  Andrea Toppin FR 21:51
1,717  Erin Valenti FR 22:20
National Rank #5 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #1 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Nationals


National Champion 3.2%
Top 5 at Nationals 43.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 84.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 99.6%


Regional Champion 94.2%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Betsy Saina Meaghan Nelson Samantha Bluske Crystal Nelson Katy Moen Taylor Petersen Colleen Riley Maddy Becker Bethany Olson Maggie Gannon Anna Buenneke
Roy Griak Invitational 09/29 252 19:07 19:15 19:49 20:11 20:01 20:35 20:53 20:58 20:47 21:03 21:18
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 187 19:09 19:18 19:47 19:43 20:00 20:33 21:04
Big 12 Championships 10/27 316 19:17 19:20 20:00 19:56 20:27 20:38 20:41 21:04 21:17 21:16
Midwest Region Championships 11/09 393 18:52 19:35 20:12 20:11 20:29 20:32 20:54
NCAA Championship 11/17 438 18:50 19:22 20:10 20:46 20:22 20:47 21:02





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 6.7 262 3.2 7.9 10.3 10.7 11.8 11.1 9.8 7.7 6.5 5.6 4.2 3.3 2.4 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.1 50 94.2 5.3 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Betsy Saina 100% 2.5 25.1 18.5 12.3 10.2 7.5 5.4 4.4 3.5 2.0 2.0 1.7 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Meaghan Nelson 100% 14.3 0.4 2.1 2.5 3.5 4.0 3.8 4.4 4.5 4.0 3.9 4.2 3.9 4.2 3.7 3.2 3.3 2.5 3.0 2.4 2.6 2.0 2.3 2.3 1.6 1.6
Samantha Bluske 100% 85.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Crystal Nelson 100% 108.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Katy Moen 100% 130.3 0.0 0.0
Taylor Petersen 100% 186.7
Colleen Riley 100% 218.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Betsy Saina 1.0 55.6 31.2 10.5 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Meaghan Nelson 3.2 1.5 12.9 29.3 31.2 13.6 6.3 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Samantha Bluske 10.4 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.1 7.7 9.2 10.0 10.3 10.5 9.8 7.5 5.9 4.9 3.5 2.8 2.2 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3
Crystal Nelson 13.6 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.6 4.0 6.3 6.3 7.0 7.7 8.9 8.2 7.7 6.6 5.4 4.6 4.0 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.0 1.6 1.2
Katy Moen 17.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.0 3.2 4.1 4.8 6.4 7.0 6.6 6.8 7.0 6.3 5.6 5.0 4.6 4.5 3.5 2.7 2.5
Taylor Petersen 31.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.8 2.8 3.6 3.5 3.5
Colleen Riley 47.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 94.2% 100.0% 94.2 94.2 1
2 5.3% 100.0% 5.3 5.3 2
3 0.4% 100.0% 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 3
4 0.1% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 100.0% 94.2 5.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Duke 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Providence 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Weber State 99.6% 2.0 2.0
Stanford 99.3% 1.0 1.0
Penn State 99.0% 1.0 1.0
Arizona 98.5% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 98.0% 2.0 2.0
New Mexico 98.0% 1.0 1.0
Washington 97.8% 1.0 1.0
Connecticut 97.5% 2.0 2.0
Cornell 97.4% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 97.3% 1.0 1.0
Notre Dame 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Texas 94.9% 1.0 0.9
Vanderbilt 87.8% 1.0 0.9
Toledo 71.9% 1.0 0.7
Boston College 68.1% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 53.9% 1.0 0.5
Oklahoma State 40.6% 1.0 0.4
UCLA 39.1% 1.0 0.4
San Francisco 27.7% 1.0 0.3
Yale 24.0% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.9% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Northwestern 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 3.7% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 2.9% 1.0 0.0
BYU 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
West Virginia 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
James Madison 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 21.5
Minimum 15.0
Maximum 27.0